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June 24, 2008

Lessons from the RREAR Pt. V (The Final Edition)

Once again, we pick up here where we left off with the fifth part of our new series: Lessons from the RREAR, where we dig deeper into the data found in our Annual Residential Real Estate Activity Report. This is also the final installment of this series -- at least until next year when we have a whole mess a' 2008 data to play with.

Today's subject, and the final subject of the year: Single-Family Detached Sales.

Singlefamily_detached_salesThe Twin Cities have always been a "traditional" kind of place, for lack of a better term. We're one of the least-dense metropolitan areas in the country, with our population spread out more diffusely and widely than most regions relative to our total population.

As a corollary, the majority of our owner-occupied housing units are traditional, single-family detached homes with yards and fences and lawns (2.3 children optional). As you can see, at least 7 out of 10 of every home sold in the Twin Cities over the last 6 years falls into this category.

While this single-family detached majority has steadily shrunk in recent years as the townhouse and condo market boomed (in conjunction with the new construction market, not coincidentally), we appear to have reached our peak (for now), as sales of these types of denser, attached homes retreated slightly in 2007. With foreclosures and short sales taking up a larger market share in 2008 -- and single-family the most prevalent property type in those categories -- expect the upward trend in single-family sales to increase again in 2008.

Below are the Top 20 Areas in Single-Family Detached Market Share -- in other words, the highest share of total closed sales in 2007 that were single-family dwellings. These are the spots where a backyard is a birthright:

MLS Code Area % Single-Family
605 Sunfish Lake 100.0%
618 Eastern Dakota County 100.0%
713 Bethel 100.0%
710 Northeast Anoka County 97.3%
716 SP – Hillcrest/Hazel Park/Daytons Bluff 97.1%
305 Mpls – North 97.0%
301 Mpls – Camden 96.9%
721 Lakeland/Afton/Denmark 95.9%
707 Ham Lake 95.8%
368 Hennepin–Northwest 95.5%
628 Southern Dakota County 95.5%
303 Mpls – Longfellow 95.1%
780 Sherburne County 95.0%
361 Crystal 94.6%
304 Mpls – Nokomis 94.4%
742 SP – Central 94.3%
602 South St. Paul 94.1%
748 SP – Town & Country/Merriam Park 94.0%
728 SP – Riverview/Cherokee 93.7%
744 SP – Como 93.5%

And below are the Bottom 20 Areas in Single-Family Detached Share. These are the spots where you and your neighbor are more likely to share a wall than a snowblower:

MLS Code Area % Single-Family
302 Mpls – Central 1.5%
741 SP – Downtown/Capital Heights 2.7%
300 Mpls – Calhoun-Isles 35.9%
310 Mpls – University 43.4%
740 SP – Crocus Hill 44.3%
614 Apple Valley 48.3%
608 Inver Grove Heights 48.5%
307 Mpls – Phillips 48.8%
386 Hopkins 50.9%
726 Woodbury 51.2%
612 Burnsville 52.9%
604 Mendota/Lilydale/Mendota Heights 53.0%
640 Shakopee 53.4%
374 Plymouth 54.5%
610 Eagan 54.6%
387 Minnetonka 58.0%
392 Eden Prairie 58.3%
617 Hastings 58.4%
706 North Central Suburban 59.4%
616 Rosemount 61.2%

For a look at the geographic boundaries of these MLS areas, visit here. See you next year for more Lessons from the RREAR.

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