Lessons from the RREAR

April 30, 2008

Lessons from the RREAR Pt. II

Rrearicon_2 We pick up here where we left off, with the second part of our new series: Lessons from the RREAR, where we dig deeper into the data found in our Annual Residential Real Estate Activity Report.

Today's subject: Square Footage.

Despite a consistent decline in the number of residents per household each year thanks to an aging population and relatively lower birth rates, the average square footage of Twin Cities homes continued its inexorable rise upwards in 2007. As newer, larger homes are added to the pipeline and existing homes are refurbished and expanded over time, the overall size of our homes gradually increases, seemingly into infinity.

This is either fantastic or horrible news, depending on whether or not you're generally in favor of second amusement rooms in the basement for antique billiard tables and pinball machines.

Entirely-too-subtle jabs at suburban consumerism aside, what this all means is that every year we seem to have more square footage per person than ever before. So relax and truly enjoy that extra beanbag chair or Barcalounger with no shame.

Below are the Top 20 areas in the Twin Cities for Average Finished Square Footage for closed sales in 2007. This is where you can really sterch out into that 7th bedroom. Not coincidentally, some of these are also the higher-priced communities in the region:

Code Area Avg. Sq. Footage
605 Sunfish Lake 5,120
368 Hennepin-Northwest 2,929
398 Victoria 2,927
381 Lake Minnetonka 2,733
604 Mendota/Lilydale/Mendota Heights 2,595
392 Eden Prairie 2,569
396 Chanhassen 2,541
707 Ham Lake 2,519
642 Prior Lake 2,413
385 Edina 2,389
626 Lakeville 2,318
367 Hennepin-North 2,317
762 Andover 2,301
727 Stillwater/Bayport 2,288
365 Maple Grove/Osseo 2,283
644 Savage 2,244
374 Plymouth 2,234
726 Woodbury 2,216
721 Lakeland/Afton/Denmark 2,206
706 North Central Suburban 2,198

And here are the Bottom 20 areas. Not surprisingly, you'll notice regions here that either a) have a high preponderance of condominiums and/or b) have a relatively older housing stock and/or c) are located in the two center cities or first-ring suburbs.

Code Area Avg. Sq. Footage
741 SP – Downtown/Capital Heights 1,089
302 Mpls – Central 1,307
308 Mpls – Powderhorn 1,310
742 SP – Central 1,322
310 Mpls – University 1,333
307 Mpls – Phillips 1,347
301 Mpls – Camden 1,351
303 Mpls – Longfellow 1,360
738 SP – Home Croft/W 7Th 1,377
306 Mpls – Northeast 1,386
746 SP – St. Anthony/Midway 1,421
716 SP – Hillcrest/Hazel Park/Daytons Bluff 1,430
728 SP – Riverview/Cherokee 1,442
386 Hopkins 1,457
379 Bloomington-East 1,462
305 Mpls – North 1,469
714 SP – Phalen 1,504
304 Mpls – Nokomis 1,514
600 West St. Paul 1,516

For a look at the geographic boundaries of these MLS areas, visit here. And stay tuned in the weeks ahead for more Lessons from the RREAR.

April 18, 2008

Lessons from the RREAR Pt. I

Rrearicon_3 If you're at all a fan of our Annual Residential Real Estate Activity Report (aka "The RREAR") that's released in February of each year, then you're likely a fan of the detailed, micro-level, neighborhood-based data it provides. Square footage, days on market, sales prices, percent new construcion vs. previously-owned...the list goes on and on -- and it's provided for every MLS area we can possibly fit in the damn thing.

All of this is to say that the amount of information contained in the 16 page report each year is both a) highly useful and b) difficult to sift through in its entirety without losing your mind. Constrained by the boundaries of the PDF format we're forced to simply dump all the data out to you in a grid of colums and rows, with no regard given to ordering the data or highlighting some trends to note.

We're gonna try to rectify this problem by harnessing the power and magic of the blog to dig into the numbers a little further. So let this mark the official beginning of the first post in an ongoing series: Lessons from The RREAR.

Today's subject: Price Per Square Foot.

While an imperfect science, Price Per Square Foot (PPSF) is in essence an attempt to control for the sometimes volatile data variable of home size and equate the value of the home to a simple financial question: how much house do I get for my money? PPSF varies significantly from house to house and is affected by a variety of factors—location, the type and age of the home, structural and cosmetic condition and much more.

Statistically, the Average PPSF by community in the Twin Cities varies greatly from place to place and is affected by all the same factors above, just on a broader geographic scale than a single home.

Below are the Top 20 Areas in the Twin Cities for Average Price Per Square Foot in 2007:

District Area PPSF
302 Mpls – Central $244
605 Sunfish Lake $237
300 Mpls – Calhoun-Isles $230
381 Lake Minnetonka $217
310 Mpls – University $206
740 SP – Crocus Hill $205
741 SP – Downtown/Capital Heights $202
309 Mpls – Southwest $200
750 SP – Mac/Groveland/River Road Area $192
385 Edina $191
752 SP – Highland Area $182
748 SP – Town & Country/Merriam Park $175
303 Mpls – Longfellow $169
604 Mendota/Lilydale/Mendota Heights $166
368 Hennepin-Northwest $166
391 Saint Louis Park $164
618 Eastern Dakota County $163
721 Lakeland/Afton/Denmark $163
304 Mpls – Nokomis $162

And here are the Bottom 20 Areas in Price Per Square Foot in the Twin Cities. These are the spots you could get the most house for your money in 2007:

District Area PPSF
305 Mpls – North $71
370 Sibley County $90
343 Mcleod County $92
342 Hutchinson $97
301 Mpls – Camden $99
742 SP – Central $100
660 Goodhue County $103
714 SP – Phalen $106
658 Le Sueur County $107
363 Brooklyn Center $111
716 SP – Hillcrest/Hazel Park/Daytons Bluff $114
720 SP – Southeast St. Paul $116
783 Cambridge $118
632 Rice County $119
364 Brooklyn Park $119
756 Elk River $120
767 Coon Rapids $121
769 Anoka $121
630 Northfield $121
612 Burnsville $121

For a look at the geographic boundaries of these MLS areas, visit here. And stay tuned in the weeks ahead for more Lessons from the RREAR.

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